Description

This analysis provides a forecast of THETA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 1.546095 1.766347 2.006936 2.289279 2.611615 2.968231 3.392856
2025-01-05 1.169404 1.458534 1.802870 2.243342 2.792235 3.454308 4.314618
2025-01-12 0.956157 1.266653 1.659045 2.191658 2.896616 3.799076 5.044607
2025-01-19 0.800391 1.113952 1.529954 2.122751 2.947141 4.055313 5.662414
2025-01-26 0.749061 1.088301 1.557829 2.255873 3.269408 4.691133 6.844095
2025-02-02 0.707548 1.068339 1.586990 2.387935 3.596742 5.358442 8.131899
2025-02-09 0.663144 1.037105 1.593620 2.483404 3.874600 5.974192 9.399162
2025-02-16 0.611930 0.988617 1.567411 2.523033 4.066848 6.473356 10.530372
2025-02-23 0.549532 0.915113 1.493853 2.478465 4.118421 6.753142 11.333618
2025-03-02 0.500754 0.858054 1.439826 2.457998 4.203436 7.088707 12.252671
2025-03-09 0.463832 0.816629 1.406609 2.467263 4.335978 7.509808 13.349314
2025-03-16 0.431043 0.778766 1.375246 2.475417 4.465026 7.932616 14.483091
2025-03-23 0.402420 0.746223 1.351294 2.496506 4.622805 8.426422 15.805412
2025-03-30 0.365865 0.695785 1.291041 2.446274 4.646693 8.683725 16.720637
2025-04-06 0.332637 0.648106 1.231031 2.389891 4.652045 8.904392 17.582888
2025-04-13 0.300640 0.599574 1.164769 2.314712 4.613115 9.035841 18.280692
2025-04-20 0.298503 0.609100 1.209741 2.459950 5.017472 10.053322 20.830627
2025-04-27 0.295844 0.617212 1.252405 2.604037 5.431986 11.125876 23.593005
2025-05-04 0.288678 0.615323 1.274735 2.708201 5.773452 12.079837 26.197041
2025-05-11 0.275744 0.600080 1.268356 2.751440 5.990408 12.794968 28.357409
2025-05-18 0.255202 0.566623 1.221082 2.702812 6.005481 13.085486 29.617050
2025-05-25 0.238792 0.540663 1.187396 2.680480 6.075391 13.498196 31.184866
2025-06-01 0.226454 0.522618 1.169179 2.690590 6.217874 14.080297 33.189213